What's driving stock market turbulence? Experts weigh in

Track global markets, follow price trends, and stay ahead with real-time finance insights.Analyze and visualize the stock market with advanced charts, technical indicators, and real-time data. Using simulation analysis, we show that the big news bias extends to other stock market indices and also analyse how the bias varies with the skewness of the distribution of financial returns. This, in combination with the nightly news’ focus on large changes, results in negative news on stock market performance — even when the stock market trends upward because of frequent small gains. As journalists prioritise major events, stock market performance in the news tends to look bad — even over periods where frequent small gains lead to an overall upward trend in the market. Second, the daily performance of stock market indices is negatively skewed (e.g. Acharya et al. 2011, Albuquerque 2012, Campbell and Hentschel 1992).

Check out the chart below to see the losses from some of the stocks with the most perceived exposure to OpenAI since the S&P 500 set its last record high on Jan. 28. The start-up is banking on significant growth over the next few years, combined with substantial inflows from investors, but neither of those things is guaranteed. Fortunately, the market recovered to set new all-time highs on each occasion, but are we headed for another steep correction or even a bear market? Investors should make investment decisions based on their unique investment objectives and financial situation.

Get real-time market data, news, and live updates on major indices like the Dow Jones, NASDAQ and S&P500. Typical warning signs leading to a pullback in the stock market include overvalued stock prices, rising interest rates, and increasing economic uncertainty. Recoveries also vary because markets often “price in” new information before it appears in lagging economic data, and investor confidence can return gradually as uncertainty clears. “New all-time stock market highs are often followed by more all-time highs,” he points out. That combination has helped support risk appetite, even as unresolved policy and economic questions still shape daily market moves. Mixed signals in economic data have also left markets uneven, some analysts added.

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Capitalize on today's evolving market dynamics. "Geopolitical tensions, questions about AI return on investment -- these things do have the potential to generate some more volatility over the near term," Canavan said. "If we do see an expansion of volatility, it will be tied to the jobs market, inflation or the Fed. More likely, a combination of them," Kenwell said. The labor market has slowed in recent months, while inflation has hovered above the Federal Reserve's target rate of 2%. "The Dow is at record highs but if you look at crypto or technology, investors don't feel that way," Kenwell said. Shares of some tech companies worldwide plummeted last week after Anthropic unveiled an AI tool viewed by some investors as a potential replacement for widely-used software products.

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Historical investment performances are no indication or guarantee of future success or performance. TSM stock hit a record high on the news. Interest Rate Derivatives trading volumes had a record Q as a result of macroeconomic volatility. Celebrating five decades of innovation, growth, and achievement within Australia's financial landscape. Compass first quarter supported by net new business and volume growth AI fever hits bond markets – tactical play or a bigger bubble?

Diversification matters because different assets and sectors can respond differently to growth, inflation and interest-rate shifts, which can help reduce reliance on any single market outcome. The S&P 500 has spent 29% of time since 1927 trading 10% or more below a recent high, reinforcing that double-digit pullbacks are not unusual. Corrections occur often enough that long-term investors generally treat them as part of the market’s regular rhythm rather than as rare events. The average correction  (10%-20% decline) lasts 17 days but any single episode can be shorter—or longer—depending on whether the decline reflects temporary sentiment shifts or deeper economic stress.

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• Many other stocks turned higher late last week, including companies in the energy and industrial sector, according to Kenwell.
• Second, the daily performance of stock market indices is negatively skewed (e.g. Acharya et al. 2011, Albuquerque 2012, Campbell and Hentschel 1992).

Rather than focusing on fear-driven narratives, many investors have emphasized earnings momentum and the staying power of consumer demand. 1 Investors watched the S&P 500 narrowly avoid a bear market last April and then https://www.netnewsledger.com/2021/07/20/dr-simon-ourians-neustem-dermal-filler/ regain footing as fundamentals reasserted themselves. With changes to taxes and interest rates, it's a good time to meet with a wealth advisor.